Reports

Promising markets for 2018

Market Monitor

  • Colombia,
  • Czech Republic,
  • Agriculture,
  • Automotive/Transport,

11th January 2018

Veelbelovende opkomende markten 2018

The economic recovery in emerging market economies is expected to continue strengthening in 2018 and these markets could present opportunities for business.

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    Economic update May 2019

    Industry Match-up Reports

    • China,
    • USA
    • Machines/Engineering,
    • Metals

    9th May 2019

    The Economic Update, presenting the current economic environment across the globe and the outlook by Atradius Economic Research.

    Country Report Mexico 2019

    Country Report

    • Mexico
    • General economic

    7th February 2019

    The economic impact of USMCA on Mexican-US trade is likely to be limited, as it is effectively a small modification of the pre-existing NAFTA agreement.

    Country Report United States 2019

    Country Report

    • USA
    • General economic

    7th February 2019

    Trade policy uncertainty is one of the top risks to US businesses and consumers in 2019 that may bring the next downturn on more quickly than expected.

    Country Report Canada 2019

    Country Report

    • Canada
    • General economic

    7th February 2019

    Despite a forecast growth slowdown in 2019 the economy should still experience positive momentum, with low unemployment and manageable inflation.

    Market Monitor Machines France 2018

    Market Monitor

    • France
    • Machines/Engineering

    13th November 2018

    Many producers are under pressure to either expand/grow or refuse orders, while difficulties in hiring skilled staff impacts further business expansion.

    MENA Country Report Algeria 2017

    Country Report

    • Algeria
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    3rd August 2017

    GDP growth is expected to slow down to about 1.5% in 2017 and 2018, as lower revenues from oil and gas exports negatively impact government investments.

    Greece: signs of hope for some industries?

    Economic Note

    • Greece
    • Chemicals/Pharma,
    • Construction,

    6th July 2017

    Despite the ongoing fragility a GDP rebound is forecast in 2017, and while some industries are expected to benefit from it, others remain subdued.

    Market Monitor Construction Belgium 2017

    Market Monitor

    • Belgium
    • Construction

    14th February 2017

    Despite decreases the level of payment delays and insolvencies will remain high in 2017 as a full-scale rebound is not expected for the time being.

    Market Monitor Construction France 2017

    Market Monitor

    • France
    • Construction

    14th February 2017

    The recovery of the construction sector has finally gained some momentum, but competition remains fierce, and prices and profitability are still low.

    Market Monitor Construction Germany 2017

    Market Monitor

    • Germany
    • Construction

    14th February 2017

    Despite continued growth during the last ten years and a benign outlook the level of building activity seen in the 1990s has not been reached again.

    Market Monitor Construction The Netherlands 2017

    Market Monitor

    • Netherlands
    • Construction

    14th February 2017

    The recovery of the Dutch construction sector continued in 2016, but there is still overcapacity in the market, and a consolidation has yet to take place.

    Market Monitor Construction UK 2017

    Market Monitor

    • United Kingdom
    • Construction

    14th February 2017

    Uncertainty in the British construction market is expected to increase in the coming years, especially as a ‘hard Brexit’ seems to be most probable.

    Market Monitor Construction Italy 2017

    Market Monitor

    • Italy
    • Construction

    14th February 2017

    Italian building cooperatives and smaller companies focused on domestic residential construction remain highly exposed to the risk of business failure.

    Market Monitor Construction US 2017

    Market Monitor

    • USA
    • Construction

    14th February 2017

    Future US construction growth could get an additional boost if, as announced, the new US administration invests heavily in infrastructure improvements.

    Market Monitor Construction Australia 2017

    Market Monitor

    • Australia
    • Construction

    14th February 2017

    A modest recovery is forecast in the non-residential segment due to stronger private demand and activity picking up in the infrastructure building sector.

    Market Monitor Construction Saudi Arabia 2017

    Market Monitor

    • Saudi Arabia
    • Construction

    14th February 2017

    Due to the deterioration in demand competition has increased, as builders operate on lower margins in order to obtain the remaining available business.

    Market Monitor Construction Singapore 2017

    Market Monitor

    • Singapore
    • Construction

    14th February 2017

    Private building projects are expected to decrease due to less benign economic conditions and an increased supply completed housing projects and offices.

    Market Monitor Construction Spain 2017

    Market Monitor

    • Spain
    • Construction

    14th February 2017

    Construction payment delays and insolvencies have decreased, mainly because financially weak players already left the market during the past downturn.

    Market Monitor Construction Sweden 2017

    Market Monitor

    • Sweden
    • Construction

    14th February 2017

    Value added construction growth is expected to grow by more than 2.5% in 2017, but due to fierce competition many smaller players have low margins.

    Market Monitor Construction UAE 2017

    Market Monitor

    • United Arab Emirates
    • Construction

    14th February 2017

    After rising in 2016, non-payments are expected to increase further in the coming six months, while business closures are also increasing further.

    Oil market finally approaching balance?

    Economic Note

    • Algeria,
    • Angola,
    • General economic

    7th February 2017

    The price of oil has stabilised, largely thanks to OPEC’s shift in policy. The market is expected to rebalance in 2018 driving up prices in the medium term.

    Country Report China 2017

    Country Report

    • China
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    31st January 2017

    The on-going economic slowdown, overcapacities and high indebtedness of many businesses will lead to further increasing business insolvencies in 2017.

    Country Report India 2017

    Country Report

    • India
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    31st January 2017

    India’s economic growth outlook for 2017 remains robust, but a rather weak banking sector and high foreign indebtedness of domestic firms remain concerns.

    Country Report Indonesia 2017

    Country Report

    • Indonesia
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    31st January 2017

    Despite an expected GDP growth rate of more than 5% in 2017 structural weaknesses remain, and firms are increasingly vulnerable to currency volatility.

    Country Report Japan 2017

    Country Report

    • Japan
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    31st January 2017

    Subdued economic growth despite massive stimulus measures remains an issue, while exports are helped by a yen depreciation against the USD in 2017.

    Country Report Malaysia 2017

    Country Report

    • Malaysia
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    31st January 2017

    A prudent fiscal policy has limited the consequences of low oil and gas prices, but the economy is vulnerable to a hard landing of the Chinese economy.

    Country Report The Philippines 2017

    Country Report

    • Philippines
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    31st January 2017

    GDP growth is expected to remain at a level of about 6% in 2017, but growing political uncertainty could hamper business sentiment and foreign investment.

    Country Report Singapore 2017

    Country Report

    • Singapore
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    31st January 2017

    In 2017 the economic performance continues to be impacted by weaker demand from China and other Asian countries, but strong fundamentals remain.

    Country Report South Korea 2017

    Country Report

    • South Korea
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    31st January 2017

    Growing political uncertainty after the president´s impeachment, subdued private consumption, and lower exports to China weigh on economic growth.

    Country Report Taiwan 2017

    Country Report

    • Taiwan
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    31st January 2017

    Growing competition from mainland China in the electronics sector require productivity increases and a diversification of the economy in the long-term.

    Country Report Thailand 2017

    Country Report

    • Thailand
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    31st January 2017

    GDP is forecast to grow about 3% in 2017, but high household debt, inequality and low incomes will put downward pressure on consumption growth.

    Country Report Vietnam 2017

    Country Report

    • Vietnam
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    31st January 2017

    High growth of more than 6% in 2017, but economic fundamentals still show some weaknesses and Vietnamese businesses suffer from limited access to capital.

    Natural gas prices have reached a turning point

    Economic Note

    • Algeria,
    • Angola,
    • General economic

    24th January 2017

    Gas prices have bottomed out and Atradius expects them to increase over the period up to 2021. Demand will be more moderate, but fueled primarily by China.

    The most promising markets of 2017

    Economic Note

    • Bulgaria,
    • Chile,
    • General economic

    12th January 2017

    Atradius picks the top most promising markets for business opportunities in 2017 due to previous strong performances and expected improvement in 2017.

    US developments put emerging markets on alert

    Economic Note

    • Algeria,
    • Angola,
    • General economic

    15th December 2016

    Developments in the US related to the election of Donald Trump and its expected effect on the US monetary policy path and international trade introduce significant uncertainty for EMEs in 2017.

    Market Monitor Food Belgium 2016

    Market Monitor

    • Belgium
    • Food

    2nd December 2016

    The demand situation is benign, but food businesses continue to suffer from margin pressure due to high labour and energy costs and stiff competition.

    Market Monitor Food Germany 2016

    Market Monitor

    • Germany
    • Food

    2nd December 2016

    While German food exports continue to increase, domestic market conditions have become increasingly difficult. Overcapacity is an issue in some segments.

    Market Monitor Food Netherlands 2016

    Market Monitor

    • Netherlands
    • Food

    2nd December 2016

    Smaller food retailer and wholesalers margins remain under pressure and are expected to lose further market share, while customer behaviour is changing.

    Market Monitor Food USA 2016

    Market Monitor

    • USA
    • Food

    2nd December 2016

    The current trend of merger and acquisition towards a subsequent consolidation in the US food market is expected to accelerate in the coming years.

    Market Monitor Food France 2016

    Market Monitor

    • France
    • Food

    2nd December 2016

    Exports are of major importance for the French food sector (especially for the beverages segment), positively contributing to the French trade balance.

    Market Monitor Food Ireland 2016

    Market Monitor

    • Ireland
    • Food

    2nd December 2016

    Sector risks have increased after the Brexit decision, and exporters to the UK have already suffered shrinking margins due to currency volatility.

    Market Monitor Food Poland 2016

    Market Monitor

    • Poland
    • Food

    2nd December 2016

    Business failures in the Polish food retail segment have increased in 2016, as mainly smaller players suffer from fierce competition and low margins.

    Market Monitor Food Denmark 2016

    Market Monitor

    • Denmark
    • Food

    2nd December 2016

    Large food businesses are active globally and performing well, while smaller producers and wholesalers generally face tough competition and low margins.

    Market Monitor Food Hungary 2016

    Market Monitor

    • Hungary
    • Food

    2nd December 2016

    Gearing of food businesses is generally high, and can be a significant risk for companies with weak profitability and focus on the domestic market.

    Market Monitor Food Italy 2016

    Market Monitor

    • Italy
    • Food

    2nd December 2016

    The outlook for food exports remains positive, with further demand growth from overseas expected, due to the strong reputation of “Made in Italy”.

    Market Monitor Food Portugal 2016

    Market Monitor

    • Portugal
    • Food

    2nd December 2016

    The economic downturn of two main export markets - Brazil and Angola - has led to reduced exports and, to some extent, investment levels in the sector.

    Market Monitor Food Spain 2016

    Market Monitor

    • Spain
    • Food

    2nd December 2016

    While the industry is still fragmented, consolidation is on-going and companies should gain size and become more competitive domestically and abroad.

    NAFTA Country Report - Canada 2016

    Country Report

    • Canada
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    25th November 2016

    Economic growth is expected to pick up in 2017, but uncertainty about the new US administration (potential protectionist trade policies) casts a shadow.

    NAFTA Country Report - Mexico 2016

    Country Report

    • Mexico
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    25th November 2016

    The consequences of any US shift on its Mexico policy remain to be seen, but increased currency volatility has already an negative impact on the economy.

    NAFTA Country Report - United States 2016

    Country Report

    • USA
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    25th November 2016

    Steady, but uneven growth is expected to persist. Domestic demand is the main driver of expansion, but manufacturing and export performance remain subdued.

    Disclaimer

    The statements made herein are provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be relied upon for any purpose. Please refer to the actual policy or the relevant product or services agreement for the governing terms. Nothing herein should be construed to create any right, obligation, advice or responsibility on the part of Atradius, including any obligation to conduct due diligence of buyers or on your behalf. If Atradius does conduct due diligence on any buyer it is for its own underwriting purposes and not for the benefit of the insured or any other person. Additionally, in no event shall Atradius and its related, affiliated and subsidiary companies be liable for any direct, indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of the use of the statements made information herein.