11th January 2018
The economic recovery in emerging market economies is expected to continue strengthening in 2018 and these markets could present opportunities for business.
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31st January 2017
Subdued economic growth despite massive stimulus measures remains an issue, while exports are helped by a yen depreciation against the USD in 2017.
A prudent fiscal policy has limited the consequences of low oil and gas prices, but the economy is vulnerable to a hard landing of the Chinese economy.
GDP growth is expected to remain at a level of about 6% in 2017, but growing political uncertainty could hamper business sentiment and foreign investment.
In 2017 the economic performance continues to be impacted by weaker demand from China and other Asian countries, but strong fundamentals remain.
Growing political uncertainty after the president´s impeachment, subdued private consumption, and lower exports to China weigh on economic growth.
Growing competition from mainland China in the electronics sector require productivity increases and a diversification of the economy in the long-term.
GDP is forecast to grow about 3% in 2017, but high household debt, inequality and low incomes will put downward pressure on consumption growth.
High growth of more than 6% in 2017, but economic fundamentals still show some weaknesses and Vietnamese businesses suffer from limited access to capital.
24th January 2017
Gas prices have bottomed out and Atradius expects them to increase over the period up to 2021. Demand will be more moderate, but fueled primarily by China.
2nd December 2016
The demand situation is benign, but food businesses continue to suffer from margin pressure due to high labour and energy costs and stiff competition.
While German food exports continue to increase, domestic market conditions have become increasingly difficult. Overcapacity is an issue in some segments.
Smaller food retailer and wholesalers margins remain under pressure and are expected to lose further market share, while customer behaviour is changing.
The current trend of merger and acquisition towards a subsequent consolidation in the US food market is expected to accelerate in the coming years.
Exports are of major importance for the French food sector (especially for the beverages segment), positively contributing to the French trade balance.
Sector risks have increased after the Brexit decision, and exporters to the UK have already suffered shrinking margins due to currency volatility.
Business failures in the Polish food retail segment have increased in 2016, as mainly smaller players suffer from fierce competition and low margins.
Large food businesses are active globally and performing well, while smaller producers and wholesalers generally face tough competition and low margins.
Gearing of food businesses is generally high, and can be a significant risk for companies with weak profitability and focus on the domestic market.
The outlook for food exports remains positive, with further demand growth from overseas expected, due to the strong reputation of “Made in Italy”.
The economic downturn of two main export markets - Brazil and Angola - has led to reduced exports and, to some extent, investment levels in the sector.